Download Climate Variability, Climate Change and Social Vulnerability by Jesse C. Ribot, Antonio Rocha Magalhães, Stahis Panagides PDF

By Jesse C. Ribot, Antonio Rocha Magalhães, Stahis Panagides

Weather adjustments can set off occasions that result in mass migration, starvation, or even famine. instead of concentrate on the affects that end result from climatic fluctuations, the authors examine the underlying stipulations that reason social vulnerability. after we comprehend why contributors, families, international locations, and areas are weak, and the way they've got buffered themselves opposed to climatic and environmental shifts, then current and destiny vulnerability could be redressed. by utilizing case reviews from around the globe, the authors discover previous reports with weather variability, and the most likely results of--and the potential coverage responses to--the kinds of climatic occasions that international warming may carry.

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Extra info for Climate Variability, Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the Semi-arid Tropics

Sample text

Hence, relative levels of vulnerability to hunger can be mapped out spatially (see, for example, Box 3, p. 30), temporally and socially. Spatial factors might include location on the rainfall gradient or on a geopolitical map, location with respect to transport or marketing systems, or vis-a-vis soil types and other geoclimatological factors. Temporal factors might include coincidence with an economic recession or depression, or perhaps the particular moment in political or development history of a region or country.

Modelling climate change is inherently difficult. It involves simulating the behavior of intricately linked and complex oceanic and atmospheric processes, some of which are not fully understood. 1 modern computers that force all climate models to make trade-offs between the number of locations they simulate, the number of climate processes they calculate, and the accuracy of the results (Stone 1992:37). These general limitations translate into a number of major problems associated with relying too heavily on GCM climate-change projections.

It is clear from this discussion that the effects of drought, and their implications for regional development within semi-arid zones, are socially mediated. Land-holding structures, geographic distribution 22 of holdings, the level of technology, access to resources and markets, and ability to command policy attention are all functions of socioeconomic standing. To address the consequences of drought, people's differentiated vulnerability to its effects must be examined. Dryland degradation and desertification Human interventions can increase the productive capacity of semi-arid regions by introducing resources such as water and soil nutrients, thus increasing the intensity of biotic production the system can maintain.

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